COVID-19 pandemija ir gimstamumas : ko tikėtis ateityje?
Author | Affiliation | |
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LT |
Date |
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2021 |
Straipsnyje aptariamas COVID-19 pandemijos ir gimstamumo ryšys. Remiantis istori-nės demografijos tyrimais pristatoma, kaip ankstesnės pandemijos veikė gimstamumą. Aptariami potencialūs post-COVID-19 periodo gimstamumo raidos veiksniai. Em-pirinėje dalyje remiantis demografine statistika analizuojami gimstamumo rodikliai Lietuvoje, pristatomi apklausos rezultatai apie vaikų susilaukimo lūkesčius COVID-19 kontekste. Tikėtina, kad trumpalaikėje perspektyvoje gimstamumas bus neigiamai pa-veiktas pandemijos, o atsigavimas priklausys nuo to, kokią įtaką pandemija turės lyčių padėčiai, ekonominiam atsigavimui, socialiniam pasitikėjimui visuomenėje.
COVID-19 pandemic has impact on many aspects of social life. Thepaper discusses the potential effect of the pandemic on fertility. It is based on the theoretical analysis of the impact of the past pandemic of modern world (Spanish flu) on the fertility and po-tential mechanisms which will be at play in the post-COVID-19 pandemic fertility tra-jectory. The paper also overviews the most recent demographic fertility and family sta-tistics, which show that fertility and marriage rates decreased in Lithuania significantly during the first year of the pandemic. Thesurvey results from 2021 reveal that fertility intentions in the cohort 1985–89 were delayed by approximately 25%. It is concluded that fertility will be mostly affected by the way the state and society will solve the issues related to gender roles in the family, gender equality in labour market, social capital and trust, all of which had been challenged by the pandemic.
Journal | IF | AIF | AIF (min) | AIF (max) | Cat | AV | Year | Quartile |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Filosofija-Sociologija | 0.405 | 2.81 | 2.81 | 2.81 | 1 | 0.144 | 2021 | Q4 |
Journal | IF | AIF | AIF (min) | AIF (max) | Cat | AV | Year | Quartile |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Filosofija-Sociologija | 0.405 | 2.81 | 2.81 | 2.81 | 1 | 0.144 | 2021 | Q4 |
Journal | Cite Score | SNIP | SJR | Year | Quartile |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Filosofija, Sociologija | 0.8 | 0.399 | 0.234 | 2021 | Q2 |