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Type of publication: research article
Type of publication (PDB): Straipsnis Clarivate Analytics Web of Science / Article in Clarivate Analytics Web of Science (S1)
Field of Science: Aplinkos inžinerija / Environmental engineering (T004)
Author(s): Povilaitis, Arvydas;Widén-Nilsson, Elin;Šarauskienė, Diana;Kriaučiūnienė, Jūratė;Jakimavičius, Darius;Bukantis, Arūnas;Kažys, Justas;Ložys, Linas;Kesminas, Vytautas;Virbickas, Tomas;Pliūraitė, Virginija
Title: Potential impact of climate change on nutrient loads in Lithuanian rivers
Is part of: Environmental engineering and management journal. Iasi : “Gheorghe Asachi” Technical University of Iasi, Romania, 2018, Vol. 17, no. 9
Extent: p. 2229-2240
Date: 2018
Keywords: Climate change;Lithuania;Runoff;Riverine nutrient loads
Abstract: The potential effects of climate change on nutrient (total N and total P) loads in four large-scale (A=2940–6771 km2) river basins in Lithuania were analyzed. The climate impact assessment was based on an ensemble of four (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0 and RCP8.5) future climate projections, representing the averaged outputs from three (GFDL-CM3, NorESM1-M and HadGEM2-ES) global climate models. For each climate projection, near-future (2016–2035) and distant-future (2081–2100) time periods were compared to the baseline period (1986–2005) to distinguish future changes. The results have shown a decreasing trend in the annual nutrient loads in most of the studied rivers under the projected climate change. Seasonal changes in nutrient loads are also predicted with an increase occurring during the winter months and a fairly high decrease occurring in the spring and early summer months. These changes are consistent with the projected changes in the seasonal stream flow
Affiliation(s): Gamtos tyrimų centras
Lietuvos energetikos institutas
Vilniaus universitetas
Vytauto Didžiojo universitetas
Žemės ūkio akademija
Appears in Collections:Universiteto mokslo publikacijos / University Research Publications

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