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Type of publication: Straipsnis Clarivate Analytics Web of Science ar/ir Scopus / Article in Clarivate Analytics Web of Science or / and Scopus (S1)
Field of Science: Aplinkos inžinerija / Environmental engineering (T004)
Author(s): Šarauskienė, Diana;Akstinas, Vytautas;Kriaučiūnienė, Jūratė;Jakimavičius, Darius;Bukantis, Arūnas;Kažys, Justas;Povilaitis, Arvydas;Ložys, Linas;Kesminas, Vytautas;Virbickas, Tomas;Pliūraitė, Virginija
Title: Projection of Lithuanian river runoff, temperature and their extremes under climate change
Is part of: Hydrology Research. London: IWA Publishing., 2018, Vol. 49, No. 2
Extent: p. 344-362
Date: 2018
Note: eISSN 2224-7955
Abstract: The aim of this research is to analyse and project the effects of changing climate on Lithuanian river runoff and water temperature. Climate change is expected to affect the extremes of the major river indices that impact fundamental ecological processes in river ecosystems. The available runoff and temperature data of rivers from three different hydrological regions of Lithuania were used. HBV software was applied for modelling of hydrological processes in the selected river catchments. The expected future changes of runoff and water temperature were projected according to a new set of scenarios (called representative concentration pathways) presented in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fifth Assessment Report. The projected extreme values of runoff (flood and low flow discharges) and water temperatures in the beginning and the end of the 21st century were compared to the ones from the past period. The results showed a decrease of spring flood discharges and summer low flows and an increase of river water temperature at the end of the 21st century. The results are going to be used for an integrated assessment of the impact of climate change on aquatic animal diversity and productivity
Affiliation(s): Gamtos tyrimų centras
Lietuvos energetikos institutas
Vilniaus universitetas
Vytauto Didžiojo universitetas
Žemės ūkio akademija
Appears in Collections:Universiteto mokslo publikacijos / University Research Publications

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