Assessment of energy supply security indicators for Lithuania

Abstract

Security of state energy supply is particularly vulnerable in such European countries as Lithuania, which almost does not have their own energy resources(coal, oil, natural gas, uranium or vast hydroenergy resources).Indicatorsof security assessment of Lithuanian energy supply are analysedin the paper. The main aim of the paper is to evaluate state of energy supply security in Lithuania in 2005-2025 year. For determination of indicators' threshold values by employing functional connections, the methodology of Bykova (Bykova, 2005) was used. A system of 11 indicators was formed in the study. Indicators were divided into four blocks, which reflect a part of the process of Lithuanian energy supply. Threshold values of some indicators, employed in simulations, were obtained using an expert assessment and functional interdependences methods.