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Type of publication: research article
Type of publication (PDB): Straipsnis konferencijos medžiagoje Clarivate Analytics Web of Science ar/ir Scopus / Article in Clarivate Analytics Web of Science or Scopus DB conference proceedings (P1a)
Field of Science: Matematika / Mathematics (N001)
Author(s): Augutis, Juozas;Matuzienė, Vaida;Krikštolaitis, Ričardas;Ušpuras, Eugenijus
Title: Analysis of energy supply disturbances in Lithuania
Is part of: Risk analysis VI : simulation and hazard mitigation : 6th international conference in computer simulation risk analysis and hazard mitigation, Cephalonia, Greece, May 5-7, 2008: proceedings. Southampton : WIT Press, 2008
Extent: p. 299-308
Date: 2008
Keywords: Energy security of supply;Disturbances of energy supply
ISBN: 9781845641047
Abstract: The Lithuanian situation of safety and security of the energy supply is quite complicated.Few countries supply primary energy sources and there are no networks of gas, oil and electricity to Western Europe; the transmission network needs modernization. In this paper a methodological scheme of energy safety and security of supply is presented, which is well reasoned by scientific methods and would solve these problems.The methodology includes the following stages : analysis of scenarios of disturbances, economical modelling, reliability modelling of supply systems, and analysis of consequences. Analysis of energy supply disturbances and evaluating their appearance probabilities are performed. Long term scenarios evaluate new technologies (e.g., new power plants) and their influence on energy supply security. A mathematical model of energt disturbances is created in this paper; it is chosen and modelled based on 110 different scenarios of energy disturbances. Critical situations are assessed by costs, which have to be paid for to secure a proper supply of energy
Affiliation(s): Informatikos fakultetas
Lietuvos energetikos institutas
Vytauto Didžiojo universitetas
Appears in Collections:Universiteto mokslo publikacijos / University Research Publications

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