Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12259/100640
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dc.contributor.authorMozgeris, Gintautas-
dc.contributor.authorBrukas, Vilis-
dc.contributor.authorPivoriūnas, Nerijus-
dc.contributor.authorČinga, Gintautas-
dc.contributor.authorMakrickiene, Ekaterina-
dc.contributor.authorByčenkienė, Steigvilė-
dc.contributor.authorMarozas, Vitas-
dc.contributor.authorMikalajūnas, Marius-
dc.contributor.authorDudoitis, Vadimas-
dc.contributor.authorUlevičius, Vidmantas-
dc.contributor.authorAugustaitis, Algirdas-
dc.coverage.spatialCH-
dc.date.accessioned2019-09-23T22:51:31Z-
dc.date.available2019-09-23T22:51:31Z-
dc.date.issued2019-
dc.identifier.issn19994907-
dc.identifier.otherVDU02-000060787-
dc.identifier.urihttps://www.vdu.lt/cris/bitstream/20.500.12259/100640/2/ISSN1999-4907_V_10.N_9.PG_1-28.pdf-
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12259/100640-
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.3390/f10090809-
dc.descriptionart. no. 809-
dc.description.abstractResearch Highlights: Validating modelling approach which combines global framework conditions in the form of climate and policy scenarios with the use of forest decision support system to assess climate change impacts on the sustainability of forest management. Background and Objectives: Forests and forestry have been confirmed to be sensitive to climate. On the other hand, human e orts to mitigate climate change influence forests and forest management. To facilitate the evaluation of future sustainability of forest management, decision support systems are applied. Our aims are to: (1) Adopt and validate decision support tool to incorporate climate change and its mitigation impacts on forest growth, global timber demands and prices for simulating future trends of forest ecosystem services in Lithuania, (2) determine the magnitude and spatial patterns of climate change e ects on Lithuanian forests and forest management in the future, supposing that current forestry practices are continued. Materials and Methods: Upgraded version of Lithuanian forestry simulator Kupolis was used to model the development of all forests in the country until 2120 under management conditions of three climate change scenarios. Selected stand-level forest and forest management characteristics were aggregated to the level of regional branches of the State Forest Enterprise and analyzed for the spatial and temporal patterns of climate change e ects. Results: Increased forest growth under a warmer future climate resulted in larger tree dimensions, volumes of growing stock, naturally dying trees, harvested assortments, and also higher profits from forestry activities. Negative impacts were detected for the share of broadleaved tree species in the standing volume and the tree species diversity. Climate change e ects resulted in spatially clustered patterns—increasing stand productivity, and amounts of harvested timber were concentrated in the regions with dominating [...]en
dc.description.sponsorshipFizinių ir technologijos mokslų centras-
dc.description.sponsorshipMiškų ir ekologijos fakultetas-
dc.description.sponsorshipProj. "Vilko ekologijos tyrimai"-
dc.description.sponsorshipSut. "Bukų žėlimo tyrimai"-
dc.description.sponsorshipVytauto Didžiojo universitetas-
dc.description.sponsorshipŽemės ūkio akademija-
dc.format.extentp. 1-28-
dc.language.isoen-
dc.relation.ispartofForests. Basel : MDPI AG, 2019, vol. 10, iss. 9-
dc.relation.isreferencedbyScience Citation Index Expanded (Web of Science)-
dc.rightshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/-
dc.subjectCimate changeen
dc.subjectMitigation effortsen
dc.subjectForestryen
dc.subjectEcosystem servicesen
dc.subjectSimulationen
dc.subjectSpatial statisticsen
dc.subject.otherMiškotyra / Forestry (A004)-
dc.titleSpatial pattern of climate change effects on Lithuanian forestryen
dc.typeStraipsnis Clarivate Analytics Web of Science ar/ir Scopus / Article in Clarivate Analytics Web of Science or / and Scopus (S1)-
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.3390/f10090809-
dc.identifier.isiWOS:000487978700022-
dcterms.bibliographicCitation78-
dc.date.updated2020-02-06T11:04Z-
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item.fulltextWith Fulltext-
item.grantfulltextopen-
crisitem.author.deptMiškų ir ekologijos fakultetas-
crisitem.author.deptViešosios teisės katedra-
crisitem.author.deptMiškų ir ekologijos fakultetas-
crisitem.author.deptŽemės ūkio akademija-
crisitem.author.deptMiškų ir ekologijos fakultetas-
crisitem.author.deptViešosios teisės katedra-
crisitem.author.deptMiškų ir ekologijos fakultetas-
crisitem.author.deptMiškų ir ekologijos fakultetas-
crisitem.author.deptViešosios teisės katedra-
crisitem.author.deptViešosios teisės katedra-
crisitem.author.deptŽemės ūkio akademija-
Appears in Collections:1. Straipsniai / Articles
Universiteto mokslo publikacijos / University Research Publications
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