Projected wind energy maximum potential in Lithuania

Abstract

Climate change is encouraging countries to consider alternatives to fossil fuels [1]. One such alternative is wind power. Currently, Lithuania generates about 14 % of its annual demand using wind energy. However, this is too low to meet the European Union's target of at least 32 % renewable energy by 2030 [2], [3]. To estimate how much energy could be generated to the maximum possible extent, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports need to be taken into account, as well as the projected future wind change and the locations where wind energy development is possible. The following objectives are intended to be addressed by this study. First and foremost, a suitable location for wind farm development must be identified. Second, using the SSP2-4.5 climate change projection, analyse the impact of climate change on energy output throughout the next 40 years (2021–2060). Finally, consider how much electricity might be generated if wind turbines were installed in all permissible places in Lithuania, as well as if this would assist Europe to reach its renewable energy targets.