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Type of publication: Straipsnis recenzuojamoje Lietuvos konferencijos medžiagoje / Article in peer-reviewed Lithuanian conference proceedings (P1f)
Field of Science: Energetika ir termoinžinerija / Energy and thermoengineering (T006)
Author(s): Martišauskas, Linas;Augutis, Juozas
Title: Spread of energy supply disturbances in the network systems
Is part of: CYSENI 2010 : 7th annual conference of young scientists on energy issues [elektroninis išteklius], Kaunas, Lithuania, 27-28 May 2010. , 2010, [no. 7]
Extent: p. 204-214
Date: 2010
Note: Tomo antraštė: 7th annual conference of young scientists on energy issues (CYSENI 2010), Kaunas, Lithuania, 27-28 May 2010
Keywords: Security of energy supply;Energy supply disturbances;Network systems;Mathematical simulation
Abstract: Energy supply disturbances play a considerable role in security of energy supply. Level of energy security varies regarding occurrence of energy supply disturbances. Thus, it is very important to analyse energy disturbances: affect to energy systems (disturbance distribution in the network systems), how systems cope with the disturbance, probability of occurrence and consequences of energy disturbance. Spreading of energy supply disturbance in the network systems is analysed in the paper. Mathematical model of the potential energy disturbances spread in the network systems is developed and presented. Energy supply disturbances are characterized in parameters of disturbance duration, price and supply deviations of basic supply scenario, fuel type etc. Disturbances occur with different severity level and cause consequences of various severities according to the parameters of energy supply disturbances. Theory of Markov chains is used, distributions of different energy disturbances in the network systems are analysed as well as issues of their stability. Theoretical results are illustrated by simulation of some potential energy disturbances. Probability of disturbance occurrence is calculated, distribution of disturbance hazard in the network system is evaluated and stability conditions are defined
Affiliation(s): Informatikos fakultetas
Lietuvos energetikos institutas
Matematikos ir statistikos katedra
Vytauto Didžiojo universitetas
Appears in Collections:Universiteto mokslo publikacijos / University Research Publications

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