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Type of publication: Straipsnis Clarivate Analytics Web of Science ar/ir Scopus / Article in Clarivate Analytics Web of Science or / and Scopus (S1)
Field of Science: Politikos mokslai / Politic sciences (S002)
Author(s): Molis, Arūnas
Title: Building methodology, assessing the risks : the case of energy security in the Baltic States
Is part of: Baltic journal of economics. Riga : EuroBaltic centres of excellence, 2011, Vol. 11, no. 2
Extent: p. 59-80
Date: 2011
Keywords: Baltijos šalys;Energetinės grėsmės;Vertinimo metodologija;Baltic States;Energy risks;Assessment methodology
Abstract: The purpose of this article is not confined to analysis of risks to the Baltic States' energy security. The research aimed to develop methods for risk intensity assessment in the area of energy security in the Baltic States, based on scenario-building and risk assessment tools as well empirical examples. It encompasses an effort to tailor a system of damage and probability (i.e. risk intensity) assessment used by other authors to risk analysis. The analysis performed by using this methodology shows the existence of at least two major energy security risks of intolerable intensity for the Baltic States: dependency on a single energy resources supplier and a wrong (in the terms of transparency, competence and knowledge) decision making process. Neutralization of these two risks or mitigation of the negative consequences caused by these should become the energy security priorities for Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia
Affiliation(s): Politikos mokslų ir diplomatijos fakultetas
Regionistikos katedra
Vytauto Didžiojo universitetas
Appears in Collections:Universiteto mokslo publikacijos / University Research Publications

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